The general election is less than 2 months away and Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton continues to lead in the majority of presidential polls even if her advantage over Republican Donald Trump has narrowed since her poll surge following the Democratic Convention in late July.
According to a new ABC News/Washington Post poll released on Sunday, Clinton has a +5 point advantage (46-41 percent) over Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump. Libertarian Gary Johnson gained 9 percent while Green Party candidate Jill Stein gained 2 percent.
The ABC News/Washington Post poll also shows that Clinton has a dominant lead +15 points with women.
Trump’s primary strength is with uneducated white males where he leads by +40 points.
Clinton has a strong lead with non-whites, +62 points.
It is no surprise that Donald Trump attempted to reach out to minority groups over the past 2 weeks and gave mixed messages on the campaign trail about whether he truly supports deporting 11 million undocumented immigrants living in the U.S.
Concerning immigration, 64 percent of Americans say immigrants do more to strengthen than to weaken U.S. society, the highest percentage level in 3 ABC/Washington Post polls since July 2015.
By a landslide, Americans prefer to offer undocumented immigrants a pathway to citizenship rather than deporting them; 79 percent favor offering a pathway to citizenship versus 15 percent against.
Americans also oppose building a full length wall across the U.S. – Mexico border by 63 to 34 percent.
The poll results show 53 percent say Clinton has been consistent with her positions compared to only 31 percent who see Trump as consistent.
Although 62 percent disapprove of Clinton’s handling of questions regarding her private e-mail server, 60 percent of Americans still see her as qualified for the presidency versus 36 percent who see Trump as qualified.
Clinton leads Trump by a wide margin about the topic of having a better personality and temperament to serve as president where the poll favors her 57- 36 percent among likely voters.
Trump leads when strong enthusiasm among supporters is weighed. Trump has a +12 point lead concerning enthusiasm among his supporters which could be a factor with voter turnout.
The poll indicates 58 percent of Americans expect Clinton to win the White House versus 29 percent for Donald Trump, a new low.
The methodology included in the latest ABC/Washington Post poll released was conducted by Langer Research Assoc. by landline and cellphone from Sept. 5-8, 2016 in English and Spanish using a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including 642 likely voters.
Other Sunday Polls (Real Clear Politics)
According to a CBS/YouGov poll taken in Florida, an important battleground state, Clinton has a +2 point lead.
In Ohio, another battleground state, Clinton has opened up a +7 point lead.
An NBC/WSJ/Marist poll released on Sunday shows Trump leading by +1 in Nevada and +2 point lead in Arizona and Georgia when other presidential candidates Johnson and Stein are included in the race.
Clinton has a + 2 point poll lead in New Hampshire.
There are 270 electoral votes needed to win a presidential election and most electoral election maps show Clinton with an advantage.
Here is one good interactive electoral map that lets you give your own predictions.
Sunday Talk Shows
On Wednesday during NBC’s commander in chief forum, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump claimed the U.S. should have taken Iraqi oil after overthrowing former Iraqi President Sadaam Hussein.
“You know, it used to be to the victor belongs the spoils. Now, there was no victor there, believe me. There was no victor. But I always said: Take the oil” Trump said at the NBC forum.
Trump also said at the forum that Russian President Vladimir Putin has been a leader “far more than our president has been a leader” and under the leadership of Obama and Clinton, the generals have been “reduced to rubble.”
On Fox News Sunday aired on Sunday, Secretary of Homeland Security Jeh Johnson was asked about Trump’s recent positive comments about Putin during Wednesday’s commander in chief forum.
“I think we have to be extremely careful, however, in what we say about foreign leaders. Republicans and Democrats on both sides of the aisle have a lot of concerns about what Putin is up to. So I think we need to be careful in our rhetoric, and that’s a non-partisan bi-partisan statement, Chris” Secretary Johnson said.
On ABC’s This Week With George Stephanopoulos, U.S. General John Allen disputed Trump’s recent characterization of generals being “reduced to rubble” under the leadership of Obama and Clinton.
“I don’t feel much like rubble. I had the opportunity to participate in a full career for several commanders in chief” General Allen said.
“As I look around at my peers, and I won’t go start naming names because I would spend the rest of your show doing it…. for some of the finest leaders that America has ever put under stars, whether they’re admirals or generals, they’re spectacular leaders. And they have not been reduced to rubble” General Allen added.
Here’s my latest YouTube video with additional commentary about the polls and Trump: