IDC first expected the 2nd quarter of 2015 to be a transitional period as vendors prepare for a well reviewed Windows 10 operating system during the second half of 2015.
But final results lowered more than expected due to a large inventory of notebooks from earlier quarters and “severe constraints posed by the decline of major currencies relative to the US Dollar” IDC reports.
Besides the economic impact from a strong U.S. dollar, the free upgrades of Windows 10, a lack of newer models in the short term, and channels that are reluctant to take stock, IDC believes the prospect of growth appears unlikely through 2016.
However, IDC remains optimistic that a modest recovery will take hold in 2017 amid a refresh cycle period and the ending of a free Windows 10 upgrade that should provide opportunities in notebooks and commercial segments.
“Although the shortcomings of the PC business are obvious, a silver lining is that the industry has continued to refine the more mobile aspects of personal computers, contributing to higher growth in Convertible and Ultraslim Notebooks,” said Jay Chou, Senior Research Analyst, Worldwide PC Tracker, in a released statement.
“The de-emphasis of touch on Windows 10 also paves the way for a more familiar experience and continuing unit growth on large screen systems, particularly all-in-one PCs.” Chou added.